Peer-Reviewed Articles

Reframing the Guardianship Dilemma: How the Military’s Dual Disloyalty Options Imperil Dictators
Conditionally accepted at American Political Science Review

Strategic Power Sharing: Commitment, Capability, and Authoritarian Survival
Forthcoming at Journal of Politics     JOURNAL LINK    •   NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY    •   APPENDIX

Strategic Civil War Aims and the Resource Curse
Forthcoming at Quarterly Journal of Political Science     JOURNAL LINK    •   APPENDIX

​Democracy by Deterrence: Norms, Constitutions, and Electoral Tilting
Forthcoming at American Journal of Political Science (with Gretchen Helmke and Mary Kroeger)
JOURNAL LINK    •   AJPS BLOG    •   MEDIA    •   APPENDIX   •   REPLICATION DATA

The Dictator's Power-Sharing Dilemma: Countering Dual Outsider Threats​
American Journal of Political Science, 2021, 65(2): 510-527.     

JOURNAL LINK   •   APPENDIX   •  NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY

Ethnic Violence in Africa: Destructive Legacies of Pre-Colonial States
International Organization, 2019, 73(3): 645-683.     

JOURNAL LINK    •   APPENDIX    •   REPLICATION DATA    •   NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY

Democratic Contradictions in European Settler Colonies
World Politics, 2019, 71(3): 542-585.     JOURNAL LINK   •   MAIN APPENDIX   •   CODING APPENDIX    •   REPLICATION DATA

Redistributive Political Transitions: Minority Rule and Liberation Wars in Colonial Africa

Journal of Politics, 2019, 81(2): 505-523.     JOURNAL LINK   •   APPENDIX    •   REPLICATION DATA

Economic Grievances and Civil War: An Application to the Resource Curse
International Studies Quarterly, 2019, 63(2): 244-258.     JOURNAL LINK   •   APPENDIX

British Colonialism and Democracy: Divergent Inheritances and Diminishing Legacies
(with Alexander Lee) Journal of Comparative Economics, 2019, 47(3): 487–503.

JOURNAL LINK   •   APPENDIX    •   REPLICATION DATA

What Were the Consequences of Decolonization? (with Alexander Lee)
International Studies Quarterly, 2019, 63(2): 406-416.      JOURNAL LINK   •   APPENDIX    •   REPLICATION DATA

Qualitative Investigation of Theoretical Models: The Value of Process Tracing  

(with Peter Lorentzen and M. Taylor Fravel)

Journal of Theoretical Politics,  2017, 29(3): 467-491.     JOURNAL LINK   •   LIST OF FORMAL THEORY ARTICLES

Rethinking the Conflict Resource Curse: How Oil Wealth Prevents Center-Seeking Civil Wars

International Organization, 2016, 70(4): 727-761.     JOURNAL LINK   •   APPENDIX   •   REPLICATION DATA

Set-Theoretic Comparative Methods (STCM): Less Distinctive Than Claimed

Comparative Political Studies, 2016, 49(6): 703-741.     JOURNAL LINK

Invited Submissions

Uses and Abuses of Formal Models in Political Science  (with Scott A. Tyson)

Chapter 11 in SAGE Handbook of Political Science: A Global Perspective     BOOK LINK

Still Searching for the Value-Added: Persistent Concerns about Set-Theoretic Comparative Methods

Comparative Political Studies, 2016, 49(6): 793-800.​​     JOURNAL LINK